1
Forza Palermo
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 73
Del Mar · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 14/06/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 30% | -0.46 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |