7

Good Golly Dolly

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 79

Del Mar · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 12/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 12212/12C9C6 @ Santa Anita 17/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 71 · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/01/2026 · OR 71 par17/01C6OR 71C6 @ Santa Anita 14/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 78 · 6f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 78 par14/02C6OR 78C9 @ Santa Anita 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 78 · 1m Fas 122 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 78 par13/03C9OR 78C6 @ Santa Anita 24/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 81 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 81 par24/04C6OR 81C5 @ Santa Anita 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 78 par23/05C5OR 78projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-23Santa Anita?6th2nd+3
2026-04-24Santa Anita?6th4th+2
2026-03-13Santa Anita?1st2nd1
2026-02-14Santa Anita?8th6th+2
2026-01-17Santa Anita?3rd1st+2
2025-12-12Los Alamitos Racecourse?4th5th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1217/0114/0213/0324/0423/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength7%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/20254th10/382%57%-0.25
17/01/20263rd10/147%80%+0.33
14/02/20268th25/10%22%+0.22
13/03/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
24/04/20266th25/10%0%0.00
23/05/20266th33/10%0%0.00