9

Golden Hope
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 94
Del Mar · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 18/07/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |