3
Kizazi
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 85
Del Mar · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 16/08/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 06/09/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 08/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 01/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |