7

Chaperone

5yo Horse · 8-8 · OR 80

Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/09/2024 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 82 · 1m Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/09/2024 · OR 82 par10/09C5OR 82C5 @ Remington Park 24/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 84 · 1m70y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/08/2025 · OR 84 parC5 @ Remington Park 21/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 90 · 1m70y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/09/2025 · OR 90 par21/09C5OR 90C5 @ Remington Park 10/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 91 · 1m70y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/10/2025 · OR 91 parC5 @ Zia Park 25/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 94 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 94 par25/11C5OR 94C8 @ Oaklawn Park 21/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 93 · 1m110y 120 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 93 parC8 @ Laurel Park 05/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 86 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 86 par5/06C8OR 86C8 @ Delaware Park 18/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 91 · 1m70y 120 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 91 parC8 @ Delaware Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 79 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 79 par4/07C8OR 79projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Delaware Park?6th6th0
2026-06-18Delaware Park?4th4th0
2026-06-05Laurel Park?5th5th0
2026-03-21Oaklawn Park?7th7th0
2025-11-25Zia Park?5th2nd+3
2025-10-10Remington Park?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0910/105/064/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20245th16/116%50%+0.34
24/08/20252nd6/168%80%+0.12
21/09/20252nd11/271%80%+0.09
10/10/20255th9/276%33%-0.43
25/11/20255th8/158%0%-0.58
21/03/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
05/06/20265th7/491%20%-0.71
18/06/20264th5/696%40%-0.56
04/07/20266th9/488%17%-0.71