3
Strand Road
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 59
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 17/01/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 03/04/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 03/05/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 21/06/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 18/07/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |