2
Blessed Candy
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 74
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-08-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/06/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 14/06/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 08/08/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 22/08/2025 | 6th | 6/5 | 94% | 17% | -0.77 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |