4

Glows In The Dark

4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 85

Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

96%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength27%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 1.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Penn National 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS21/08C6C5 @ Penn National 29/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 83 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/11/2025 · OR 83 par29/11C5OR 83C8 @ Laurel Park 01/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 82 par1/05C8OR 82C7 @ Delaware Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 81 par20/05C7OR 81C7 @ Delaware Park 25/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 83 · 6f 122 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 83 par25/06C7OR 83projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-25Delaware Park?1st1st0
2026-05-20Delaware Park?1st1st0
2026-05-01Laurel Park?4th5th1
2025-11-29Penn National?1st-1th+2
2025-08-21Penn National?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0829/111/0520/0525/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength95%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
29/11/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
01/05/20264th5/174%25%-0.49
20/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
25/06/20261st13/891%100%+0.09