7
Susan's Mule
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 78
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/12/2024 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/04/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |