1
Sweet Hazely
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 72
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength32%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2023 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 01/01/2024 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 09/03/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 31/05/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/9 | 98% | 75% | -0.23 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |