Tennesseehoneybee
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 88
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-08-15 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 11/06/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 28/07/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 29% | -0.62 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |