1
Chartist
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 92
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
88%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 8/15 | 97% | 67% | -0.31 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |