6
Matadora
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 76
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-10-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 57% | -0.33 |
| 08/08/2025 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 73% | -0.22 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 78% | -0.12 |