Embrace My Uncle
9yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 95
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
76%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |