1
Frosty The Giant
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 93
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 15/05/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |