3
Striking Sparks
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 100
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 71% | -0.23 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |