6
Alrasikh
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 83
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
85%
Place Prob
64%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |