12
Atomico
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 70
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |