10
Kuz It's Chilly
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 75
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-07-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 07/06/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 26/06/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/08/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 30/08/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 30/10/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |
| 20/02/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |