3
Latin Rebel
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 84
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 16/11/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |