Mickey Shillelagh
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 98
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Meadowlands | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-09-04 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2024 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 05/10/2024 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 21/06/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 26/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 04/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 56% | -0.30 |
| 05/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |