Regalpains

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 78

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#13

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength28%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.0

Today:

Class gap: +1.5

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2025-06-13	Penn National	?	6th	4th	+2	5.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish13th of 13

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▲

Strength14%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
13/06/2025	6th	33/1	0%	29%	+0.29