13
Sell It
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 81
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2024 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 71% | -0.23 |
| 06/12/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 11/01/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 08/02/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |