9
West Mountain
3yo Colt · 8-5 · OR 84
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |