8

Broadcaster

6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 91

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/02/2025 · OR 93 par1/02C6OR 93C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 22/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 94 · 1m39y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/02/2025 · OR 94 parC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 25/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 96 · 1m110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2025 · OR 96 par25/04C6OR 96C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 24/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 96 · 7f 122 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 96 parC7 @ Delaware Park 13/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 96 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 96 par13/05C7OR 96C7 @ Delaware Park 21/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 95 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 95 parC7 @ Delaware Park 10/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 89 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 89 par10/06C7OR 89C7 @ Delaware Park 24/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 88 · 1m70y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 88 parC8 @ Delaware Park 22/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m Slo 121 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 87 par22/07C8OR 87projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Delaware Park?4th4th0
2026-06-24Delaware Park?6th5th+1
2026-06-10Delaware Park?5th4th+1
2026-05-21Delaware Park?6th5th+1
2026-05-13Delaware Park?2nd1st+1
2026-04-24Tampa Bay Downs?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0224/0410/0622/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength23%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/02/20255th8/158%43%-0.15
22/02/20253rd15/261%67%+0.06
25/04/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
24/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
13/05/20262nd11/486%86%+0.00
21/05/20266th11/486%17%-0.69
10/06/20265th16/116%43%+0.27
24/06/20266th16/116%0%-0.16
22/07/20264th16/116%57%+0.41