9
Develop Product
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 86
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
8/13
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/03/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |