4
Anderman
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 82
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |