3
Freakazoid
5yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 94
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-02-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-01-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2024-12-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2024 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 26/10/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 07/12/2024 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 27/12/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/01/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 27/02/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/04/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |