6
Muthabir
4yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 72
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-06-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 05/06/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 28/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 15/08/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |