1
Possum
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 79
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-03-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-01-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-12-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2024 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 12/12/2024 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 11/01/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 08/02/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 09/03/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 28/03/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 13/08/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |