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5

Yes I Will

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 87

Delaware Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

86%

Place Prob

71%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 25/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f110y 11925/02C9C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 81 · 7f 119 · below its mark18/03/2026 · OR 81 par18/03C9OR 81C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 24/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 65 · 7f 118 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 65 par24/04C9OR 65C7 @ Penn National 20/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 75 par20/06C7OR 75C7 @ Delaware Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 82 · 6f 118 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 82 par18/07C7OR 82projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Delaware Park?1st1st0
2026-06-20Penn National?2nd2nd0
2026-04-24Tampa Bay Downs?1st3rd−2
2026-03-18Tampa Bay Downs?4th6th−2
2026-02-25Tampa Bay Downs?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0218/0324/0420/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength80%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/02/20262nd5/174%91%+0.17
18/03/20264th9/488%57%-0.31
24/04/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
20/06/20262nd6/492%50%-0.42
18/07/20261st1/195%100%+0.05