Di's Surprise
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 85
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-01-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2024 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 10/10/2024 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 28/12/2024 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 24/01/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 19/04/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 09/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 20/12/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |