2
Mischief Maxey
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 89
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-07-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 17/05/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 29/06/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 13/07/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 27/09/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |