1

Stop Watch

4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 92

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Delaware Park 02/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f Fas 1192/08C6C6 @ Delaware Park 27/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 81 · 7f110y Fm 118 · beat its mark27/08/2025 · OR 81 par27/08C6OR 81C5 @ Laurel Park 28/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 88 · 1m110y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/09/2025 · OR 88 par28/09C5OR 88C6 @ Laurel Park 19/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 88 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 88 par19/10C6OR 88C6 @ Laurel Park 28/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 94 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark28/11/2025 · OR 94 par28/11C6OR 94projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-28Laurel Park?6th6th0
2025-10-19Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2025-09-28Laurel Park?1st0th+1
2025-08-27Delaware Park?1st2nd1
2025-08-02Delaware Park?2nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0827/0828/0919/1028/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength18%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/08/20252nd4/179%80%+0.01
27/08/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
28/09/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
19/10/20253rd5/174%78%+0.04
28/11/20256th5/174%0%-0.74