Cap'n Cats

3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 68

Delaware Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

86%

Place Prob

62%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: +1.7

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-06-06	Delaware Park	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2026-05-16	Delaware Park	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2025-06-22	Monmouth Park	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 10

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
22/06/2025	5th	12/1	37%	20%	-0.17
16/05/2026	2nd	4/1	79%	80%	+0.01
06/06/2026	5th	12/1	37%	0%	-0.37