Never Till Now
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 70
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-22 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-10-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-04-23 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-03-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-09-26 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-09-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 26/09/2024 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 13/03/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/04/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 22/10/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |