6
Thirsted
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 77
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-12 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |
| 12/12/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 04/02/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 01/04/2026 | 4th | 1/3 | 98% | 67% | -0.32 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |