11
Gala De Crennes
10yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Concorde - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#11
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Agon-Coutainville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 2 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 20/12/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/01/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 21/01/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 08/04/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 02/05/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/07/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |