9

Jilord Viva

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Enghien · Prix De La Concorde - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength30%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 16/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 016/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 04/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04/01C?1 @ Vincennes 25/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Vincennes 17/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 017/02C?C0 @ Amiens 04/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 02 @ Vincennes 21/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 021/0321 @ Enghien 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Vichy 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 030/06C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Vichy?3rd3rd0
2026-06-13Enghien16th5th+1
2026-03-21Vincennes26th6th0
2026-03-04Amiens?9th9th0
2026-02-17Vincennes?1st1st0
2026-01-25Vincennes15th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1125/0121/0330/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength80%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
30/11/20254th9/153%82%+0.30
04/01/202613th50/10%8%+0.08
25/01/20265th10/147%71%+0.24
17/02/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
04/03/20269th10/382%47%-0.36
21/03/20266th11/271%62%-0.10
13/06/20266th66/10%67%+0.67
30/06/20263rd8/158%83%+0.25