4
Just Du Chatelet
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Concorde - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Chartres | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 17/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |
| 06/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 26/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |