2
Xerava C.d.
7yo Mare · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Concorde - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Chatelaillon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 03/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 85% | +0.03 |
| 31/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 64% | -0.22 |