3

Lagnu Mag

5yo Colt · 0-0

Enghien · Prix Place Denfert-rochereau - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 19/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 019/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 31/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 02 @ Vincennes 15/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 015/0122 @ Vincennes 06/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 17/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 017/02C?2 @ Vincennes 27/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 02 @ Vincennes 10/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 010/042C0 @ Vichy 11/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 02 @ Enghien 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 013/062projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-13Enghien27th7th0
2026-05-11Vichy?8th8th0
2026-04-10Vincennes211th11th0
2026-02-27Vincennes211th11th0
2026-02-17Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-02-06Vincennes26th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/126/0210/0413/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/12/20259th16/116%47%+0.31
31/12/20255th33/10%56%+0.56
15/01/20266th14/126%44%+0.18
06/02/20266th28/10%67%+0.67
17/02/20266th25/10%50%+0.50
27/02/202611th28/10%23%+0.23
10/04/202611th33/10%33%+0.33
11/05/20268th33/10%30%+0.30
13/06/20267th50/10%60%+0.60