4
Lariano
5yo Colt · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Place Denfert-rochereau - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 3 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Vincennes | 3 | −1 | ||
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 02/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.77 |
| 15/01/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/02/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 42% | -0.35 |
| 09/03/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 47% | +0.05 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |