9
Lewis River
5yo Colt · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Place Denfert-rochereau - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#7
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 1 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-02-27 | Vincennes | 2 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength27%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 19/12/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 31/12/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 23/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |
| 21/06/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |