1
Loyal Du Choquel
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Place Denfert-rochereau - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 3 | −1 | ||
| 2026-04-24 | Vincennes | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |