9
Kenyan Blues
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte D'italie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-28 | Angers | 6 | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-07 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 30/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 07/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 14/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 28/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |