3
Knockonwood
6yo Horse · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte D'italie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-12 | Caen | 4 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength68%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 06/12/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/01/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 18/01/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/02/2026 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 12/03/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |