8
Krystal Piya
6yo Horse · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte D'italie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#8
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 1 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 4 | −2 | ||
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Enghien | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-12-25 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 87% | +0.16 |
| 29/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 25/12/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 92% | +0.86 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 87% | +0.16 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |