10

Le Gentleman
5yo Colt · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte D'italie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-03-27 | Vincennes | 4 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength88%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 18/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 93% | +0.10 |
| 27/03/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 79% | -0.04 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 93% | +0.06 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |