4
Lizzano D'alouette
5yo Colt · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte D'italie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength33%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 2
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Vincennes | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength73%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 92% | +0.04 |
| 03/05/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 58% | -0.24 |
| 20/11/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 14/01/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 09/03/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |